Dan Rayburn: EVP StreamingMedia.com, Principal Analyst, Frost & Sullivan | 917-523-4562 | Email | Subscribe Twitter RSS Email

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Thursday, March 29, 2007

Online Video Is Not Web 2.0 Or In A "Bubble"

I am getting really tired of people writing about the online video industry in the media and referencing the technology as Web 2.0 or worse yet, describing our industry as being in a "bubble". Online video is not in a bubble and the technology has been around 13 years. I don't think you can call any technology part of Web 2.0 when it's been around as long as streaming media has and personally, I think the whole Web 2.0 term is nonsense anyway.

Many of these writers who are writing about online video have got it all wrong. User generated content is in a bit of a bubble right now, not video. Just because video is part of the whole UGC space, which includes blogs, podcasts, vblogging etc... does not make the technology of video as something that should not be taken seriously.

Many of you, especially the vendors, who have spent a lot of time, effort and money to brand and market your products and services have done so to present a real product or service. You've done all this work so that your offering will be seen as anything but something in a "bubble". I think it's bad for the entire industry when vendors products and services are treated as if they just part of some online video bubble. So the next time you are at a conference, read an article or hear someone reference the online video industry and your products and services as being part of a "bubble", set them straight.

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Patent Reform Ruling Will Affect All IP Video Industries

Businessweeklogo_2 Excellent, excellent article by David Kappos today over at BusinessWeek Online talking about the need for patent reform. David gives details on the upcoming ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court that is likely to have big implications for everyone affected by patents, including the online video industry.

I have been doing a lot of work for the past few years on patent litigation issues as it pertains to patents covering many different forms of digital media distribution to many different IP based devices. Having worked on numerous cases, I've been able to see first hand just how much our industry is being affected by patents and more importantly, the patent system. Without a doubt, the U.S. patent system is hurting many industries, not just our own.

Please read the article and keep yourself informed of what is taking place regarding patent litigation for our industry. It not only has an affect on you but in many cases it also affects your customers. I get many calls from your customers asking me patent related questions or even just a general overview of what is taking place. While I am happy to answer as many of these questions as possible, you still need to be aware from at least a high-level of what is going on and should be able to speak to your customers about what is taking place.

Call For Papers Now Open For The Streaming Media Europe Conference

Smeurope_logo_2 The call for papers for the Streaming Media Europe conference and exhibition taking place October 4-5 in London is now open. I typically receive ten times the number of speaking submissions I have available so I strongly suggest you submit your proposal early, as they are reviewed and possibly confirmed upon receipt. The submission deadline is May 11th.

We are seeking proposals and case studies from people who use and manage streaming and online video solutions and services in their organisations.

If you are working on an innovative project or if you are willing to share your practical tips, tools, or strategies for business applications of streaming technology, please consider volunteering to speak at Streaming Media Europe.

As you are all aware, the online video market is hotter than ever and our shows continue to grow each year and continue to attract more and more speakers. The demand continues to grow for speaking spots so I can't stress enough how important it is to get your submissions in on time.

Podcamp NYC Event: Everything You Want To Know About Podcasting & Video Blogging

Podcampnyclogowiki_2Next Saturday, April 7th there is a great event taking place in NYC about podcasting. PodCamp NYC is a FREE new media conference dedicated to podcasting, blogging, vlogging and other new/social media. Sponsor driven and led by a group of organizer volunteers, the April 7th event will feature 80+ sessions on topics ranging from how-to create online media to monetization and philosophy of Internet 2.0 technologies.

I'll be speaking on a session talking to the business side of podcasting looking at how companies are trying to monetize their content. You can register and attend at no cost. The event is being held at the The New Yorker Hotel.

If you are producing or putting on an event in your area that ties into the world of online audio and video, let me know. In most cases, I will happy promote it here on the blog at no cost. Anything that helps to educate users and the industry is good for us all.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Why Is Most Broadband Content Still Encoded At 300Kbps?

My earlier post got me thinking about why, in 2007, the average bitrate for a video file delivered via streaming media is still encoded in 300Kbps? Is it purely because content owners don't want to pay more money to delivery their videos at higher bitrates? Or is the trade off between quality and price acceptable for the current content business models we have today?

Over the past 10 years, we saw the bitrates increase from 20Kbps to 37Kbps, to 80Kbps, to 100Kbps and then to 300Kbps. Yes, there is some content available in 500Kbps and 750Kbps but still very, very little. We've been at 300Kbps for years now and I don't yet see a shift in that bitrate being bumped up to say 500Kbps. Why is that? Are you content owners satisfied with the quality you get now and the cost to deliver that content? Are you happy with the trade off of lower quality content delivered for a cheaper price? If that's the case, I think that's ok. Some trade-offs are acceptable. But it has me thinking about what is stopping the increase of what we classify today as broadband video content?

I don't think it is a lack of capacity on the networks of the CDNs who are delivering most of this content and I don't see the viewers having any computer or end-mile limitations stopping them from getting a 500Kbps stream today. So what is stopping the adoption of high bitrate content?

I'd love to get some thoughts and feedback to this question.

The Online Video Industry Is NOT Suffering From "Bandwidth Bottlenecks"

I keep reading articles and press releases that use the term "bandwidth bottleneck" and talk to how the lack of available bandwidth is somehow the factor that is stopping the adoption of online video. What are these companies talking about? There are more broadband customers than ever before, the average DSL or cable modem is between 3-6MB and there are plenty of folks like me who have 20MB or those who are accessing the Internet via their corporate LAN. Bandwidth is NOT the problem.

Yesterday, IBM put out a release about a new prototype optical receiver chipset that is at least 8x faster at 160 gigabits of data/second, than currently available optical components. I think that's great and I'm sure down the road it will become useful. But instead of stopping there, IBM had to then use the analogy of "That's fast enough to download a high definition feature-length film in one second, versus at least 30 minutes using the fastest available technology today." No one is even downloading movies in any volume in non-HD today, let alone HD. And if they were, it would take the average person about 3 hours to download a non-HD movie.

It's the business models behind the creation and consumption of content that the industry is working on and at this point in time we assume nearly all of our viewers have a broadband connection capable of them getting at least a 300Kbps stream. When was the last time you even saw content, other than audio, encoded below 100Kbps? Yes, we do have some bottlenecks in this industry, but nearly all of them are ones pertaining to business and consumption, not bandwidth.

Monday, March 26, 2007

Cablevision Loses Suit on Network DVRs: Movie Studios Still Don't Get It

Cablevisionlogo_3 Last week, a judge ruled against Cablevision in a suit filed by Hollywood studios and broadcasters who claimed that Cablevision's new network based digital video recording device would have broken copyright laws.

Last year, Cablevision announced plans to network digital video recorders which would have allowed cable customers to be able to record and playback shows through a regular cable box without the need to have a DVR cable box with a hard drive.

In the suit, Twentieth Century Fox, Paramount Pictures, CNN and Turner Broadcasting System claimed that Cablevision's service would amount to an additional re-broadcast of their programs which they have not given permission for. Cablevision argued that since the the customer was in control of the recording and playback of the programs, and not Cablevision, that the devices were compliant.

Once again, the movie studios refuse to let customers decide how and when they consume content. When are these content companies going to realize that if they don't give customers control, they won't grow their business? The major studios keep complaining about the decline of DVD sales, the decline of theater ticket sales and the problem of illegal movie downloads, yet their own greed is keeping them from growing their business since they refuse to listen to what consumers want. Content isn't king, the customer is king.

Friday, March 23, 2007

MSNBC.com Video Still Not Supported In Firefox Or Safari For Mac Users

Logo01 Why can't MSNBC.com get it's video to work for Mac users with the Firefox or Safari browsers? Everyone says that using Flash solves the cross-platform issue but it doesn't when a site like MSNBC.com who is using Flash, still doesn't support Mac users. I am trying to watch the briefing on the pet food recall and had to leave the MSNBC.com site to go watch it with CNN's pipeline service. I like MSNBC.com for getting my news each day but it's dumb that they make Mac users leave their site and force them to go to a competitors news site to get video.

There is no excuse for MSNBC.com not to be able to support Mac users when the other news sites out there have been supporting them for years. Wake up MSNBC! You are losing eyeballs like mine when I can't get the news I want from your site. Do I really need to tell you how people are getting news on the web today?

Update: I forgot to mention. In addition to the above, MSNBC makes you sit through a video advertisement BEFORE they tell you that you can't see the video you are after. So while they know the browser is not supported, they don't tell you that till after you have watched a video ad, which of course seems to work just fine in the browser.

Limelight Networks Files For IPO, Looking To Raise $201 Million

Limelight_logo_3 Limelight Networks has filed for an IPO on the NASDAQ global market under the ticker symbol LLNW. The filing, which was made public Thursday by the SEC, says Limelight is looking to raise $201 million. According to the filing, Limelight earned $64.3 million for the year ending December 2006 and reported a loss of $3.7 million.

Limelight has been marching towards the IPO since mid last year when it raised a round of $130 million led by Goldman Sachs Capital Partners and brought on a new CEO Jeffrey Lunsford, who led his former company WebSideStory through a successful IPO.

This is good news for all the companies in the content delivery segment of the market as it will bring additional exposure to the services these companies provide. Also, with Limelight now having to put on paper every quarter all the details of it's business, it will help to give us a better picture of the entire content delivery market.

I've put a call into Limelight to see if they will give a date range of when they expect to go public. Waiting to hear back. The company was not able to provide any estimated date range.

Thursday, March 22, 2007

NBC Teams Up With News Corp., AOL and Others to Form Video Site To Rival YouTube

NBC Universal and News Corp. announced today that they are joining forces to launch a new video portal this summer enabling them to better control their programming and give YouTube some competition. It's about time. What's taken these major content owners so long?

I like this deal for two major reasons. One, this new video portal will have real syndication in place since they are teaming up with Yahoo, Time Warner Inc.'s AOL, Microsoft Corp.'s MSN, and MySpace as their initial distribution partners. In addition, they are going to focus on producing professional looking content as opposed to most of the junk you see on YouTube. Some have said this new video portal can't be compared to YouTube since YouTube is all about allowing users to upload their own videos and the new NBC Universal and News Corp. portal has not yet defined what roll user generated content will play.

It's hard to know how much of YouTube's traffic comes from user generated video or from TV produced content, but we know that a vast majority of traffic comes from TV content. I mean, how many jackass style videos can you really watch each day?

For me, the outstanding questions about this deal are:

  • How will this new NBC Universal and News Corp. portal distribute content? Will they use a firm like Brightcove or try and keep most of the technology in-house? If they don't have a user generated function, then all they are doing is delivering video which they can easily do. But if they need to have transcoding and other functionality, my guess is they will partner with someone so that they enter the market faster.
  • What will be the role of user generated video in the new portal?
  • How many other content providers will jump on board with NBC Universal and News Corp. to add their content to this new portal? If it is successful when it launches, many other content owners will quickly want to join.

It seems every time there is a big deal announced people always seem to call it a "game changer" even when the new offering has not yet launched. In most cases, I think it's a bunch of hype and they use the term simply to create drama, but in this case, I think this announcement really does have the potential to change the economics for some content owners.

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